RCD Mallorca → Al-Nassr · Summer 2026

✓ Confirmedhe is in the squad at his new club · 3mo ago
79%
final reading before it was settled
first reported 4mo agolast moved 3mo ago
  1. Rumoured
    17 Jul
  2. Talks
    17 Jul
  3. Agreement
    9 Aug
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    9 Aug

Catch me up

  1. 17 Julfirst@FabrizioRomano: Al Nassr advancing on deal to sign Samu Costa from Mallorca; player agreed to move despite RB Leipzig proposal; club-to-club talks ongoing.
  2. 9 AugReached Agreement
  3. 9 AugReached Done

What was actually said

3 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as done

Advancingone report

🟡🔵🇸🇦 Exclusive story from one month ago, confirmed: Samu Costa signs for Al Nassr from Mallorca. 🇵🇹 https://t.co/ggA90oZDTZ https://t.co/mTqRyPHt5Z

claims Done+1 pointView on X ↗

Reported as being in talks

Advancing2 reports, led by @FabrizioRomano

🚨🟡🔵 EXCLUSIVE: Al Nassr advance on surprise deal to sign Samu Costa from Mallorca. Samu said yes to the move despite formal proposal from RB Leipzig, Al Nassr are on it. He’s the chosen replacement for Brozović who left the club. Club to club talks ongoing. https://t.co/vcLLvwUHkE

claims TalksView on X ↗
1 other post on the same claim
  • @FabrizioRomano4mo ago ↗

    🚨💛💙 Exclusive story confirmed: Al Nassr are making progress in talks to sign Samu Costa. Negotiations moving to final stages with Mallorca and player’s camp. 🔜 https://t.co/5ebDfXEFfZ

Why it read 79% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+88
Fabrizio Romano advancingBroke ittrust 0.75, 93% faded
+1
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−9
2 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
79%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

Not enough history yet. The line appears after a few recalculations.