Al Hilal SFC → Ajax · Permanent · Summer 2026

✓ Confirmedhe is in the squad at his new club · 4mo ago
88%
final reading before it was settled
first reported 4mo agolast moved 4mo ago
  1. Rumoured
    12 Jul
  2. Talks
    12 Jul
  3. Agreement
    12 Jul
  4. Medical
    12 Jul
  5. Done
    17 Jul

Catch me up

  1. 12 Julfirst@FabrizioRomano: Ajax opened talks with Marcos Leonardo; initial discussions on player side as he will leave Al Hilal
  2. 12 JulReached Agreement
  3. 12 JulReached Medical
  4. 17 JulReached Done
  5. 17 JulJoined by @MatteMoretto

What was actually said

4 posts in 3 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as done

Advancingone report

esMarcos Leonardo to Ajax is done.

Marcos Leonardo al Ajax está firmado.

claims DoneView on X ↗

Reported at medical stage

Advancing2 reports, led by @FabrizioRomano

🚨🔴⚪️ Marcos Leonardo to Ajax, here we go! Verbal agreement in place for Brazilian striker to join the Dutch club. Club to club agreement done with Al Hilal at €25m fee and personal terms also verbally agreed. Lawyers exchanging/checking docs but Marcos cleared for medical 🇧🇷 https://t.co/OhDBrBnqVC

claims MedicalView on X ↗
1 other post on the same claim
  • @FabrizioRomano4mo ago ↗

    🚨🔴⚪️ Marcos Leonardo to Ajax, here we go! Verbal agreement in place for Brazilian striker to join the Dutch club. Club to club agreement done with Al Hilal at €17.5 fee; personal terms also verbally agreed. Lawyers exchanging/checking docs but Marcos cleared for medical 🇧🇷 https://t.co/rTNLMGwnPY

Reported as being in talks

Advancingone report

🚨🔴⚪️ In addition to dream midfield target Azzedine Ounahi, Ajax also opened talks for Marcos Leonardo. Initial discussions on player side as he will leave Al Hilal this summer. https://t.co/KwE2g7hgdw

claims TalksView on X ↗

Why it read 88% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+88
4 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
88%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

Not enough history yet. The line appears after a few recalculations.