Juventus → Aston Villa · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 12% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    10 Jun
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Catch me up

  1. 10 Junfirst@DiMarzio: itJuventus and Aston Villa negotiating over Martinez's transfer fee
  2. 28 JulCooling@FabrizioRomano: Aston Villa's request for Dibu Martínez considered too high, talks in complete stand-by
  3. 28 JulJoined by @FabrizioRomano

What was actually said

2 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Said to be cooling

Coolingone report

🚨⚪️⚫️ Juventus keep advancing in talks to sign Randal Kolo Muani from PSG with final answer to follow soon. Deal currently complicated for Dibu Martínez as talks are in complete stand-by. Aston Villa request, considered too high. 🎥🇮🇹 https://t.co/Gd1JNjaTIr https://t.co/p8CEVcStVR

claims TalksView on X ↗

Reported as being in talks

Advancingone report

itJuventus and Aston Villa negotiating over Martinez's transfer fee

.@juventusfc-Martinez, ora si tratta con l'@AVFCOfficial sul prezzo @skysport https://t.co/VlRnOYXPoq

claims Talksname shared — matched from contextView on X ↗

Why it read 12% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+15
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−3
2 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
12%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457530 Aug: −14 points, after @FabrizioRomano30 Aug: −4 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting28 Aug30 Aug31 Aug
25 recomputations▼ 18 points over the trail
  1. −142mo ago@FabrizioRomano: Aston Villa's request for Dibu Martínez considered too high, talks in complete stand-by
  2. −42mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting