Roma → Genoa CFC · Permanent · Summer 2026

✓ Confirmedhe is in the squad at his new club · 5mo ago
12%
final reading before it was settled
first reported 5mo agolast moved 5mo ago
  1. Rumoured
    11 Jun
  2. Talks
    11 Jun
  3. Agreement
    11 Jun
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    12 Jun

Catch me up

  1. 11 Junfirst@MatteMoretto: itGenoa in closing negotiations with Roma for Tommaso Baldanzi, fee around €9.5 million
  2. 11 JunReached Agreement
  3. 11 JunJoined by @FabrizioRomano, @DiMarzio
  4. 12 JunReached Done

What was actually said

6 posts in 3 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as done

Advancing2 reports, led by @DiMarzio

itBaldanzi to Genoa CFC, documents exchanged with AS Roma

.@GenoaCFC, è fatta per Baldanzi: scambiati i documenti con la @OfficialASRoma https://t.co/sjyiOcn6jD

claims DoneView on X ↗
1 other post on the same claim
  • @DiMarzio5mo ago ↗

    itBaldanzi to Genoa, documents exchanged

    Baldanzi-@GenoaCFC, ci siamo: ok lo scambio dei documenti

Reported as agreed

Advancingone report

🚨🔴🔵 Genoa are closing in on deal to sign Tommaso Baldanzi from AS Roma for €9.5m fee. Deal set to be sealed as @Fil_Biafora reported. Daniele De Rossi strongly wanted Baldanzi to stay. https://t.co/xdrnNIj6B4

claims AgreementView on X ↗

Reported as being in talks

Advancing3 reports, led by @MatteMoretto

itGenoa in closing negotiations with Roma for Tommaso Baldanzi, fee around €9.5 million

Genoa, trattativa in chiusura per Tommaso Baldanzi. Alla Roma circa 9 milioni e mezzo.

claims TalksView on X ↗
2 other posts, 1 other source on the same claim
  • @DiMarzio5mo ago ↗

    itGenoa confident in securing Baldanzi from Roma with clubs converging on €9.5m fee

    .@GenoaCFC , fiducia per il riscatto di Baldanzi dalla Roma: convergenza tra i club intorno ai 9,5 milioni

  • @DiMarzio5mo ago ↗

    itGenoa confident in securing Baldanzi from Roma with clubs converging on €9.5m fee

    .@GenoaCFC , fiducia per il riscatto di Baldanzi dalla @OfficialASRoma : convergenza tra i club intorno ai 9,5 milioni

Why it read 12% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+12
6 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
12%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457530 Aug: −50 points, after @DiMarzio, @DiMarzio, @DiMarzio, @DiMarzio28 Aug30 Aug
2 recomputations▼ 50 points over the trail
  1. −502mo ago@DiMarzio: Genoa confident in securing Baldanzi from Roma with clubs converging on €9.5m fee · @DiMarzio: Genoa confident in securing Baldanzi from Roma with clubs converging on €9.5m fee · @DiMarzio: Baldanzi to Genoa CFC, documents exchanged with AS Roma · @DiMarzio: Baldanzi to Genoa, documents exchanged