AS RomaGenoa CFC · Permanent · Summer 2026

Confirmedhe is in the squad at his new club · 3mo ago
12%
final reading before it was settled
first reported 3mo agolast moved 3mo ago
  1. Rumoured
    11 Jun
  2. Talks
    11 Jun
  3. Agreement
    11 Jun
  4. Medical
  5. Done
    12 Jun

Catch me up

  1. 11 Junfirst@MatteMoretto: itGenoa in closing negotiations with Roma for Tommaso Baldanzi, fee around €9.5 million
  2. 11 JunReached Agreement
  3. 11 JunJoined by @FabrizioRomano, @DiMarzio
  4. 12 JunReached Done

What was actually said

6 posts in 3 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as done

Advancing2 reports, led by @DiMarzio

itBaldanzi to Genoa CFC, documents exchanged with AS Roma

JournalistTier 2weighted 0.75claims DoneView on X ↗
1 other post on the same claim
  • @DiMarzio3mo agono effect

    itBaldanzi to Genoa, documents exchanged

    Baldanzi-@GenoaCFC, ci siamo: ok lo scambio dei documenti

Reported as agreed

Advancingone report
JournalistTier 1weighted 0.84counted at 36%claims AgreementView on X ↗

Reported as being in talks

Advancing3 reports, led by @MatteMoretto

itGenoa in closing negotiations with Roma for Tommaso Baldanzi, fee around €9.5 million

JournalistTier 1weighted 0.74counted at 22%claims TalksView on X ↗
2 other posts, 1 other source on the same claim
  • @DiMarzio3mo agono effect

    itGenoa confident in securing Baldanzi from Roma with clubs converging on €9.5m fee

    .@GenoaCFC , fiducia per il riscatto di Baldanzi dalla Roma: convergenza tra i club intorno ai 9,5 milioni

  • @DiMarzio3mo agono effect

    itGenoa confident in securing Baldanzi from Roma with clubs converging on €9.5m fee

    .@GenoaCFC , fiducia per il riscatto di Baldanzi dalla @OfficialASRoma : convergenza tra i club intorno ai 9,5 milioni

Why it read 12% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+12
6 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
12%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457528 Aug: 62%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: −50 points, with no new post28 Aug30 Aug
2 recomputations 50 points over the trail
  1. 5020d agono new post; decay or a rival moving