Tottenham Hotspur → Manchester City · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 12% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    4 Aug
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as being in talks

Advancingone report

🚨⚪️ More on Pedro Neto and Savinho. Tottenham would consider Pedro Neto if Savinho deal won’t happen — but Savinho remains the top priority. Man City in contact with Pedro’s agents, no bid sent to Chelsea or official club to club talks yet. 🎥 https://t.co/6GTPNrj1sN https://t.co/EFfZDcXZDv

claims TalksView on X ↗

Why it read 12% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+17
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−5
1 further reporteach worth under half a point
Completion probability
12%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457530 Aug: −13 points, with no post on this move: news on a rival destination30 Aug: −6 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting28 Aug30 Aug31 Aug
25 recomputations▼ 18 points over the trail
  1. −132mo agonews on a rival destination
  2. −62mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting