AC MonzaPalermo F.C. · Permanent · Summer 2026

Confirmedchecked against the public record · 3mo ago · source ↗
No reading before it settled
it was confirmed before the model scored it
  1. Rumoured
    22 Jun
  2. Talks
    22 Jun
  3. Agreement
    23 Jun
  4. Medical
  5. Done
    6 Jul

Catch me up

  1. 22 Junfirst@DiMarzio: Palermo close to signing Hernani from AC Monza
  2. 23 JunReached Agreement
  3. 6 JulReached Done

What was actually said

4 posts in 3 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as done

Advancingone report

itHernani is officially a new Palermo player

JournalistTier 2weighted 0.55claims DoneView on X ↗

Reported as agreed

Advancing2 reports, led by @DiMarzio

itHernani to Palermo expected to be completed tomorrow

JournalistTier 2weighted 0.55counted at 60%claims AgreementView on X ↗
1 other post on the same claim
  • @DiMarzio3mo agono effect

    .@Palermofficial, in arrivo Hernani ed Estevez: doppia operazione in chiusura https://t.co/L1skRiPddg

Reported as being in talks

Advancingone report
JournalistTier 2weighted 0.55counted at 36%claims TalksView on X ↗

Why it read 13% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+13
4 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
13%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457529 Aug: 17%29 Aug: 17%29 Aug: 17%29 Aug: 17%29 Aug: 17%29 Aug: 17%29 Aug: 17%29 Aug: 17%29 Aug: 17%29 Aug: 17%29 Aug: 17%29 Aug: 17%29 Aug: 17%29 Aug: 17%29 Aug: 17%29 Aug: 17%29 Aug: 17%29 Aug: 17%29 Aug: 17%29 Aug: 15%29 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%31 Aug: 13%31 Aug: 13%31 Aug: 13%31 Aug: 13%31 Aug: 13%31 Aug: 13%31 Aug: 13%31 Aug: 13%1 Sept: 13%1 Sept: 13%2 Sept: 13%29 Aug30 Aug2 Sept
50 recomputations 4 points over the trail