claims DoneView on X ↗
Trincão
FWto Al Ahli FC · Permanent · Summer 2026
✓ Confirmedchecked against the public record · 4mo ago · source ↗
No reading before it settled
it was confirmed before the model scored it
- Rumoured11 Jul
- Talks11 Jul
- Agreement13 Jul
- Medical—
- Done13 Jul
Catch me up
- 11 Julfirst@FabrizioRomano: Trincão to Al Ahli, deal underway
- 13 JulReached Agreement
- 13 JulReached Done
What was actually said
2 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.
Reported as done
Advancingone reportReported as being in talks
Advancingone reportclaims TalksView on X ↗
Why it read 13% before it settled
Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+13
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−1
2 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
13%
Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.
Probability over time
- −52mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting