TransferHype
Winter 2027

Trincão

FW

Unknown club → Al Ahli FC · Permanent · Summer 2026

✓ Confirmedchecked against the public record · 2mo ago · source ↗
No reading before it settled
it was confirmed before the model scored it
  1. Rumoured
    11 Jul
  2. Talks
    11 Jul
  3. Agreement
    13 Jul
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    13 Jul

Catch me up

  1. 11 Julfirst@FabrizioRomano: Trincão to Al Ahli, deal underway
  2. 13 JulReached Agreement
  3. 13 JulReached Done

What was actually said

2 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as done

Advancingone report

Reported as being in talks

Advancingone report
JournalistTier 1weighted 0.75counted at 60%claims TalksView on X ↗

Why it read 13% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+13
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−1
2 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
13%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457529 Aug: 20%29 Aug: 20%29 Aug: 20%29 Aug: 19%29 Aug: 19%29 Aug: 19%29 Aug: 19%29 Aug: 19%29 Aug: 19%29 Aug: 19%29 Aug: 18%29 Aug: 18%29 Aug: 18%29 Aug: 18%29 Aug: 18%29 Aug: 18%29 Aug: 18%29 Aug: 18%29 Aug: 18%29 Aug: 13%29 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%31 Aug: 13%31 Aug: 13%31 Aug: 13%31 Aug: 13%31 Aug: 13%31 Aug: 13%31 Aug: 13%31 Aug: 13%1 Sept: 13%1 Sept: 13%2 Sept: 13%29 Aug: −5 points, with no new post29 Aug30 Aug2 Sept
50 recomputations▼ 7 points over the trail
  1. −519d agono new post; decay or a rival moving