TransferHype
Winter 2027

Pape Matar Sarr

MF

Tottenham Hotspur → Monaco · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 25% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    28 Aug
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Catch me up

  1. 28 Augfirst@JacobsBen: Monaco have made enquiries for Pape Matar Sarr
  2. 29 AugReached Talks
  3. 29 AugJoined by @FabrizioRomano

What was actually said

2 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as being in talks

Advancingone report

🚨🇸🇳 Pape Matar Sarr has been offered to Juventus as midfield option after Kessie deal off. He’s allowed to leave Tottenham with talks already ongoing for days with AS Monaco, leading the race. https://t.co/rIe5WPcAcv

claims Talks+13 pointsView on X ↗

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report

Nottingham Forest have joined the race for Pape Matar Sarr, as broken last night on @LastWordOnSpurs. Monaco and Besiktas have both made enquiries as well. Sarr is expected to leave between now and the end of the window.⚪️ https://t.co/2h5JPh2iZl

claims Rumoured+1 pointView on X ↗

Why it read 25% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+28
Fabrizio Romano advancingBroke ittrust 0.75
+13
Ben Jacobs neutralBroke ittrust 0.55, counted at 60%
+1
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−17
Completion probability
25%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457529 Aug: +25 points, after @FabrizioRomano30 Aug: −4 points, with no post on this move: news on a rival destination31 Aug: −3 points, with no post on this move: news on a rival destination29 Aug30 Aug31 Aug
42 recomputations▲ 15 points over the trail
  1. +252mo ago@FabrizioRomano: Talks ongoing with AS Monaco, leading the race to sign him
  2. −42mo agonews on a rival destination
  3. −32mo agonews on a rival destination