Eintracht Frankfurt → Crystal Palace · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 25% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    28 Aug
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as being in talks

Advancingone report

🚨🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 EXCL | Hugo Larsson is now in London for direct negotiations with two clubs. One of them: Crystal Palace. With permission from Eintracht Frankfurt, who are demanding around €25m for the 22 y/o midfielder. #SGE @SkySportDE 🇸🇪 https://t.co/vcaWOPnJci

claims Talks+7 pointsView on X ↗

Why it read 25% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+27
Florian Plettenberg advancingBroke ittrust 0.55, 45% faded
+7
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−8
Completion probability
25%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457529 Aug: +7 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting30 Aug: −3 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting31 Aug: −6 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting31 Aug: −8 points, with no post on this move: news on a rival destination1 Sept: −3 points, with no post on this move: news on a rival destination29 Aug30 Aug1 Sept
44 recomputations▼ 16 points over the trail
  1. −82mo agonews on a rival destination
  2. +72mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting
  3. −62mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting
  4. −32mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting
  5. −32mo agonews on a rival destination