VfL Wolfsburg → OGC Nice · Loan · Summer 2026

✓ Confirmedchecked against the public record · 2mo ago · source ↗
No reading before it settled
it was confirmed before the model scored it
  1. Rumoured
    28 Aug
  2. Talks
    28 Aug
  3. Agreement
    30 Aug
  4. Medical
    30 Aug
  5. Done
    —

Catch me up

  1. 28 Augfirst@FabriceHawkins: frMohammed Amoura in advanced discussions with OGC Nice on a loan with non-obligatory purchase option of €20M
  2. 30 AugReached Agreement
  3. 30 AugReached Medical
  4. 30 AugJoined by @Plettigoal

What was actually said

2 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported at medical stage

Advancingone report

🚨💥 Mohamed Amoura to OGC Nice - DONE DEAL ✔️ Full agreement reached with VfL Wolfsburg. Loan deal with an option to buy agreed for the 26 y/o striker. Final details now being completed. Departure to France scheduled for today. Deal subject to medical, signing and no late https://t.co/1wCU456zMY

claims Medical+8 pointsView on X ↗

Reported as being in talks

Advancingone report

frMohammed Amoura in advanced discussions with OGC Nice on a loan with non-obligatory purchase option of €20M

🚨 Mohammed Amoura et l’OGC Nice sont en discussions avancées ! Prêt avec option d’achat non obligatoire de 20M€ 🔴⚫️ https://t.co/pNZhXS7FnH

claims Talks+4 pointsView on X ↗

Why it read 33% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+27
Florian Plettenberg advancingBroke ittrust 0.55
+8
Fabrice Hawkins advancingBroke ittrust 0.55, 51% faded, counted at 60%
+4
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−6
Completion probability
33%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457530 Aug: −7 points, with no post on this move: news on a rival destination31 Aug: +6 points, after @Plettigoal29 Aug31 Aug2 Sept
46 recomputations▼ 9 points over the trail
  1. −72mo agonews on a rival destination
  2. +62mo ago@Plettigoal: Loan deal with option to buy agreed between Wolfsburg and Nice, medical pending