VfL WolfsburgOGC Nice · Loan · Summer 2026

Confirmedchecked against the public record · 19d ago · source ↗
No reading before it settled
it was confirmed before the model scored it
  1. Rumoured
    28 Aug
  2. Talks
    28 Aug
  3. Agreement
    30 Aug
  4. Medical
    30 Aug
  5. Done

Catch me up

  1. 28 Augfirst@FabriceHawkins: frMohammed Amoura in advanced discussions with OGC Nice on a loan with non-obligatory purchase option of €20M
  2. 30 AugReached Agreement
  3. 30 AugReached Medical
  4. 30 AugJoined by @Plettigoal

What was actually said

2 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported at medical stage

Advancingone report

Reported as being in talks

Advancingone report

frMohammed Amoura in advanced discussions with OGC Nice on a loan with non-obligatory purchase option of €20M

JournalistTier 2weighted 0.55counted at 60%claims TalksView on X ↗

Why it read 33% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+27
Plettigoal advancingBroke ittrust 0.55
+8
FabriceHawkins advancingBroke ittrust 0.55, 51% faded, counted at 60%
+4
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−6
Completion probability
33%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457529 Aug: 41%29 Aug: 41%29 Aug: 41%29 Aug: 41%29 Aug: 41%29 Aug: 41%29 Aug: 41%29 Aug: 41%29 Aug: 41%29 Aug: 41%29 Aug: 41%29 Aug: 41%29 Aug: 41%29 Aug: 41%29 Aug: 41%29 Aug: 41%29 Aug: 40%30 Aug: 40%30 Aug: 40%30 Aug: 40%30 Aug: 40%30 Aug: 40%30 Aug: 39%30 Aug: 32%30 Aug: 32%30 Aug: 32%30 Aug: 32%30 Aug: 32%30 Aug: 32%30 Aug: 32%30 Aug: 32%30 Aug: 32%30 Aug: 32%30 Aug: 32%30 Aug: 32%31 Aug: 32%31 Aug: 32%31 Aug: 32%31 Aug: 32%31 Aug: 31%31 Aug: 31%31 Aug: 37%31 Aug: 37%1 Sept: 35%1 Sept: 35%2 Sept: 33%30 Aug: −7 points, with no new post31 Aug: +6 points, with no new post29 Aug30 Aug2 Sept
46 recomputations 9 points over the trail
  1. 719d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  2. +618d agono new post; decay or a rival moving