TransferHype
Winter 2027

Conrad Harder

FW

RB Leipzig → Sevilla · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 25% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    28 Aug
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as being in talks

Advancingone report

esSevilla in advanced negotiations with Leipzig for forward Conrad Harder, could be completed within 48 hours

JournalistTier 1weighted 0.75claims TalksView on X ↗

Why it read 25% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+27
MatteMoretto advancingBroke ittrust 0.75, 44% faded
+10
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−12
Completion probability
25%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457529 Aug: 46%29 Aug: 46%29 Aug: 45%29 Aug: 45%29 Aug: 45%29 Aug: 45%29 Aug: 46%29 Aug: 46%29 Aug: 46%29 Aug: 46%29 Aug: 46%29 Aug: 46%29 Aug: 46%29 Aug: 46%29 Aug: 41%29 Aug: 41%29 Aug: 41%30 Aug: 41%30 Aug: 40%30 Aug: 40%30 Aug: 41%30 Aug: 41%30 Aug: 33%30 Aug: 33%30 Aug: 33%30 Aug: 33%30 Aug: 33%30 Aug: 33%30 Aug: 30%30 Aug: 30%30 Aug: 30%30 Aug: 30%30 Aug: 30%30 Aug: 30%30 Aug: 30%31 Aug: 30%31 Aug: 30%31 Aug: 30%31 Aug: 30%31 Aug: 29%31 Aug: 29%31 Aug: 27%31 Aug: 27%1 Sept: 25%29 Aug: −5 points, with no new post30 Aug: −8 points, with no new post30 Aug: −3 points, with no new post29 Aug30 Aug1 Sept
44 recomputations▼ 21 points over the trail
  1. −817d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  2. −518d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  3. −317d agono new post; decay or a rival moving