RB Leipzig → Sevilla · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 25% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    28 Aug
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as being in talks

Advancingone report

esSevilla in advanced negotiations with Leipzig for forward Conrad Harder, could be completed within 48 hours

El Sevilla está en negociaciones avanzadas por Conrad Harder, delantero del Leipzig. En este momento es una opción muy real para la delantera, más que Petar Ratkov. Se puede cerrar en las próximas 48 horas. Información adelantada por @GonzaloTortosa.

claims Talks+10 pointsView on X ↗

Why it read 25% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+27
Matteo Moretto advancingBroke ittrust 0.75, 44% faded
+10
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−12
Completion probability
25%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457529 Aug: −5 points, with no post on this move: news on a rival destination30 Aug: −8 points, with no post on this move: news on a rival destination30 Aug: −3 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting29 Aug30 Aug1 Sept
44 recomputations▼ 21 points over the trail
  1. −82mo agonews on a rival destination
  2. −52mo agonews on a rival destination
  3. −32mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting