TransferHype
Winter 2027

Andrei Rațiu

DF

Rayo Vallecano → Fulham F.C. · Permanent · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 36% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    29 Aug
  2. Talks
    29 Aug
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

What was actually said

5 posts in 3 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as being in talks

Advancing3 reports, led by @MatteMoretto

esFulham in talks with Rayo over Rațiu; could be finalized in coming hours, with English club prepared to pay €25m release clause if needed

JournalistTier 1weighted 0.75claims TalksView on X ↗
2 other posts, 1 other source on the same claim
  • @MatteMoretto19d ago ↗+2

    esFulham leading the race for Andrei Rațiu from Rayo

    Exclusiva: más detalles sobre el futuro de Andrei Rațiu. En en los últimos días, el Nottingham Forest también se ha puesto en contacto con el Rayo. El Fulham lleva la delantera, pero el Nottingham sigue en la pugna. Los próximos días serán decisivos.

  • @FabrizioRomano17d ago ↗+1

    🚨⚫️⚪️ Andrei Ratiu, very disappointed and hurt by Rayo stance as he wants Fulham move. Ratiu won't be starting today vs Barcelona as focused on Fulham transfer. €25m bid on the table for the buyout clause but no answer from Rayo president. https://t.co/Eb7sWhthBM

Reported as agreed

Advancingone report

esFulham in advanced negotiations with Rayo Vallecano for Andrei Rațiu; agreement reached with player

JournalistTier 1weighted 0.75counted at 60%claims AgreementView on X ↗

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report

esRayo Vallecano preparing contingency plans in case Andrei Rațiu leaves for Fulham

JournalistTier 1weighted 0.75counted at 13%claims RumouredView on X ↗

Why it read 36% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+28
MatteMoretto advancingBroke ittrust 0.75, 47% faded
+10
MatteMoretto advancingBroke ittrust 0.75, 48% faded, counted at 60%
+6
MatteMoretto advancingtrust 0.75, 47% faded, repeating (2nd to say it, 50%), counted at 36%
+2
FabrizioRomano advancingtrust 0.75, repeating (3rd to say it, 25%), counted at 22%
+1
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−11
1 further reporteach worth under half a point
Completion probability
36%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457529 Aug: 59%29 Aug: 54%29 Aug: 54%29 Aug: 54%29 Aug: 54%29 Aug: 54%29 Aug: 59%29 Aug: 60%29 Aug: 60%29 Aug: 60%29 Aug: 60%29 Aug: 60%29 Aug: 60%29 Aug: 60%29 Aug: 60%29 Aug: 60%29 Aug: 44%30 Aug: 44%30 Aug: 44%30 Aug: 44%30 Aug: 45%30 Aug: 45%30 Aug: 44%30 Aug: 44%30 Aug: 44%30 Aug: 44%30 Aug: 44%30 Aug: 44%30 Aug: 44%30 Aug: 44%30 Aug: 44%30 Aug: 44%30 Aug: 44%30 Aug: 44%30 Aug: 44%31 Aug: 44%31 Aug: 44%31 Aug: 43%31 Aug: 43%31 Aug: 41%31 Aug: 41%31 Aug: 41%31 Aug: 41%1 Sept: 38%1 Sept: 38%2 Sept: 36%29 Aug: −5 points, with no new post29 Aug: +5 points, with no new post29 Aug: −16 points, with no new post1 Sept: −3 points, with no new post29 Aug30 Aug2 Sept
46 recomputations▼ 23 points over the trail
  1. −1618d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  2. −519d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  3. +519d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  4. −315d agono new post; decay or a rival moving