TransferHype
Winter 2027

Harrison Armstrong

MF

Everton F.C. → Nottingham Forest F.C. · Permanent · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 15% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    29 Aug
  2. Talks
    29 Aug
  3. Agreement
    30 Aug
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Catch me up

  1. 29 Augfirst@David_Ornstein: Nottingham Forest in talks to sign 19-year-old Harrison Armstrong from Everton for ~£40m plus sell-on clause
  2. 29 AugJoined by @TEAMtalk, @JacobsBen
  3. 30 AugDenial@David_Ornstein: Everton decided not to sell Harrison Armstrong to Nottingham Forest despite deal reaching advanced stage
  4. 30 AugReached Agreement
  5. 30 AugReached Medical

What was actually said

5 posts in 4 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Denied outright

Denialone report

Reported as being in talks

Advancing2 reports, led by @David_Ornstein
JournalistTier 1weighted 0.75counted at 60%claims TalksView on X ↗
1 other post, 1 other source on the same claim
  • @TEAMtalk19d ago ↗no effect

    ‼️ Nott'm Forest have bid £40m plus add-ons for Everton's Harrison Armstrong, who is OPEN to leaving the Toffees #nffc #efc Full details via @GraemeBailey 👇 https://t.co/Wjf1Gepnmm

Said to be cooling

Coolingone report
JournalistTier 2weighted 0.55counted at 36%claims MedicalView on X ↗

Said to be cooling

Coolingone report
AggregatorTier 3weighted 0.40counted at 22%claims TalksView on X ↗

Why it read 15% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+27
David_Ornstein denialBroke ittrust 0.75
−13
David_Ornstein advancingBroke ittrust 0.75, 47% faded, counted at 60%
+4
JacobsBen coolingBroke ittrust 0.55, counted at 36%
−1
TEAMtalk coolingBroke ittrust 0.40, counted at 22%
−1
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−1
1 further reporteach worth under half a point
Completion probability
15%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457529 Aug: 52%29 Aug: 47%29 Aug: 48%29 Aug: 48%29 Aug: 48%29 Aug: 48%29 Aug: 48%29 Aug: 48%29 Aug: 48%29 Aug: 48%29 Aug: 48%29 Aug: 48%29 Aug: 48%29 Aug: 48%29 Aug: 48%29 Aug: 47%29 Aug: 47%30 Aug: 47%30 Aug: 48%30 Aug: 47%30 Aug: 48%30 Aug: 48%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 12%31 Aug: 12%31 Aug: 12%31 Aug: 14%31 Aug: 14%31 Aug: 14%31 Aug: 14%31 Aug: 14%31 Aug: 14%1 Sept: 14%1 Sept: 14%2 Sept: 15%29 Aug: −5 points, with no new post30 Aug: −36 points, after @David_Ornstein, @JacobsBen, @TEAMtalk29 Aug30 Aug2 Sept
46 recomputations▼ 37 points over the trail
  1. −3618d ago@David_Ornstein: Everton decided not to sell Harrison Armstrong to Nottingham Forest despite deal reaching advanced stage · @JacobsBen: Harrison Armstrong's move to Nottingham Forest has collapsed; Everton had accepted a £40m bid and a medical was planned but Armstrong wanted to stay after playing in Everton's draw with Bournemouth · @TEAMtalk: Nottingham Forest's £40m move for Harrison Armstrong has stalled after Everton fan backlash forced a U-turn
  2. −519d agono new post; decay or a rival moving