TransferHype
Winter 2027

Harrison Armstrong

MF

Everton → Nottingham Forest · Permanent · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 15% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    29 Aug
  2. Talks
    29 Aug
  3. Agreement
    30 Aug
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Catch me up

  1. 29 Augfirst@David_Ornstein: Nottingham Forest in talks to sign 19-year-old Harrison Armstrong from Everton for ~£40m plus sell-on clause
  2. 29 AugJoined by @TEAMtalk, @JacobsBen
  3. 30 AugDenial@David_Ornstein: Everton decided not to sell Harrison Armstrong to Nottingham Forest despite deal reaching advanced stage
  4. 30 AugReached Agreement
  5. 30 AugReached Medical

What was actually said

5 posts in 4 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Denied outright

Denialone report

🚨 Everton owners The Friedkin Group decide not to sell Harrison Armstrong. Nottingham Forest deal for 19yo reached advanced stage but after deliberations #EFC (including chairman Dan Friedkin personally) unanimously opted to keep midfielder @TheAthleticFC https://t.co/TgzMMLKgEC

claims Agreement−13 pointsView on X ↗

Reported as being in talks

Advancing2 reports, led by @David_Ornstein

🚨 EXCL: Nottingham Forest working on deal to sign Harrison Armstrong from Everton. Talks for 19yo centre on ~£40m deal + sell-on clause to #EFC. England youth international targeted by #NFFC to strengthen midfield after Elliot Anderson exit @TheAthleticFC https://t.co/dqIuDsLzJV

claims Talks+4 pointsView on X ↗
1 other post, 1 other source on the same claim
  • @TEAMtalk2mo ago ↗

    ‼️ Nott'm Forest have bid £40m plus add-ons for Everton's Harrison Armstrong, who is OPEN to leaving the Toffees #nffc #efc Full details via @GraemeBailey 👇 https://t.co/Wjf1Gepnmm

Said to be cooling

Coolingone report

Harrison Armstrong's proposed move to Nottingham Forest is off, as @JPercyTelegraph called. Everton had accepted a bid worth around £40m before their draw with Bournemouth. Yet Armstrong started that game, and wanted to stay. Forest had plans in place for a medical today. Yet https://t.co/rLJ5Zb22GJ

claims Medical−1 pointView on X ↗

Said to be cooling

Coolingone report

Nott'm Forest have now switched their focus to other targets, after an Everton fan backlash forced a U-turn over Harrison Armstrong's proposed £40m City Ground move 😲 #EFC #NFFC https://t.co/sjcNglAzk6

claims Talks−1 pointView on X ↗

Why it read 15% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+27
David Ornstein denialBroke ittrust 0.75
−13
David Ornstein advancingBroke ittrust 0.75, 47% faded, counted at 60%
+4
Ben Jacobs coolingBroke ittrust 0.55, counted at 36%
−1
TEAMtalk coolingBroke ittrust 0.40, counted at 22%
−1
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−1
1 further reporteach worth under half a point
Completion probability
15%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457529 Aug: −5 points, with no post on this move: news on a rival destination30 Aug: −36 points, after @David_Ornstein, @TEAMtalk29 Aug30 Aug2 Sept
46 recomputations▼ 37 points over the trail
  1. −362mo ago@David_Ornstein: Everton decided not to sell Harrison Armstrong to Nottingham Forest despite deal reaching advanced stage · @TEAMtalk: Nottingham Forest's £40m move for Harrison Armstrong has stalled after Everton fan backlash forced a U-turn
  2. −52mo agonews on a rival destination