TransferHype
Winter 2027

Arthur

DF

Bayer 04 Leverkusen → Hamburger SV · Loan · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 27% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    29 Aug
  2. Talks
    29 Aug
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as agreed

Advancingone report

Why it read 27% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+26
Plettigoal advancingBroke ittrust 0.55, 47% faded
+7
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−6
Completion probability
27%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457529 Aug: 74%29 Aug: 74%29 Aug: 79%29 Aug: 79%29 Aug: 79%29 Aug: 79%29 Aug: 79%29 Aug: 79%29 Aug: 79%29 Aug: 79%29 Aug: 79%29 Aug: 79%29 Aug: 79%29 Aug: 79%29 Aug: 79%29 Aug: 79%29 Aug: 25%30 Aug: 25%30 Aug: 25%30 Aug: 25%30 Aug: 25%30 Aug: 25%30 Aug: 24%30 Aug: 24%30 Aug: 24%30 Aug: 24%30 Aug: 23%30 Aug: 23%30 Aug: 47%30 Aug: 47%30 Aug: 47%30 Aug: 47%30 Aug: 47%30 Aug: 47%30 Aug: 47%31 Aug: 47%31 Aug: 47%31 Aug: 39%31 Aug: 39%31 Aug: 38%31 Aug: 38%31 Aug: 29%31 Aug: 29%1 Sept: 28%1 Sept: 28%2 Sept: 27%29 Aug: +5 points, with no new post29 Aug: −54 points, with no new post30 Aug: +24 points, with no new post31 Aug: −8 points, with no new post31 Aug: −9 points, with no new post29 Aug30 Aug2 Sept
46 recomputations▼ 47 points over the trail
  1. −5418d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  2. +2417d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  3. −916d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  4. −817d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  5. +518d agono new post; decay or a rival moving