Aston Villa F.C.Manchester United F.C. · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 22% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    29 Aug
  2. Talks
  3. Agreement
  4. Medical
  5. Done

What was actually said

2 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Denied outright

Denialone report

Reported as being in talks

Advancingone report
AggregatorTier 3weighted 0.40counted at 60%claims TalksView on X ↗

Why it read 22% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+27
TEAMtalk denialBroke ittrust 0.40
−8
TEAMtalk advancingBroke ittrust 0.40, 47% faded, counted at 60%
+2
Completion probability
22%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457529 Aug: 39%29 Aug: 39%29 Aug: 44%29 Aug: 44%29 Aug: 44%29 Aug: 44%29 Aug: 44%29 Aug: 44%29 Aug: 44%29 Aug: 44%29 Aug: 44%29 Aug: 44%29 Aug: 44%29 Aug: 44%29 Aug: 44%29 Aug: 43%29 Aug: 43%30 Aug: 43%30 Aug: 43%30 Aug: 43%30 Aug: 43%30 Aug: 43%30 Aug: 18%30 Aug: 18%30 Aug: 18%30 Aug: 18%30 Aug: 18%30 Aug: 18%30 Aug: 18%30 Aug: 18%30 Aug: 18%30 Aug: 18%30 Aug: 18%30 Aug: 18%30 Aug: 18%31 Aug: 18%31 Aug: 18%31 Aug: 21%31 Aug: 21%31 Aug: 21%31 Aug: 21%31 Aug: 22%31 Aug: 22%1 Sept: 22%1 Sept: 22%2 Sept: 22%29 Aug: +5 points, with no new post30 Aug: −25 points, after @TEAMtalk31 Aug: +3 points, with no new post29 Aug30 Aug2 Sept
46 recomputations 17 points over the trail
  1. 2517d ago@TEAMtalk: Aston Villa will not sell Ian Maatsen to Man Utd
  2. +518d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  3. +317d agono new post; decay or a rival moving