TransferHype
Winter 2027

Duje Ćaleta-Car

DF

Olympique Lyonnais → Sassuolo · Summer 2026

✓ Confirmedhe is in the squad at his new club · 2mo ago
No reading before it settled
it was confirmed before the model scored it
  1. Rumoured
    29 Aug
  2. Talks
    29 Aug
  3. Agreement
    29 Aug
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    29 Aug

What was actually said

2 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as agreed

Advancingone report

🚨🟢⚫️ EXCL: Sassuolo have agreed deal to sign Duje Ćaleta-Car from Olympique Lyon. Verbal agreement in place for the Croatian defender to join the Italian club from OL. https://t.co/DnXuNBnXv3

claims Agreement+11 pointsView on X ↗

Reported as done

Advancingone report

Esclusiva: Duje Ćaleta-Car al Sassuolo. https://t.co/S90fGpCFGc

claims Done+6 pointsView on X ↗

Why it read 69% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+52
Fabrizio Romano advancingBroke ittrust 0.75, 46% faded
+11
Matteo Moretto advancingBroke ittrust 0.75, 46% faded, counted at 60%
+6
Completion probability
69%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457529 Aug: −11 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting29 Aug: −52 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting30 Aug: −3 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting30 Aug: +51 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting1 Sept: −4 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting2 Sept: −4 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting29 Aug30 Aug2 Sept
46 recomputations▼ 28 points over the trail
  1. −522mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting
  2. +512mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting
  3. −112mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting
  4. −42mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting
  5. −42mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting