TransferHype
Winter 2027

Amad Diallo

FW

Manchester United → Aston Villa · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 26% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    29 Aug
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as being in talks

Advancingone report

🔴 Aston Villa offer for Amad Diallo has gone in, according to a report #AVFC #MUFC https://t.co/LCgkDnYz84

claims Talks+5 pointsView on X ↗

Why it read 26% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+26
TEAMtalk advancingBroke ittrust 0.40, 46% faded
+5
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−5
Completion probability
26%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457529 Aug: −4 points, with no post on this move: news on a rival destination29 Aug: +4 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting29 Aug: −6 points, with no post on this move: news on a rival destination31 Aug: −4 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting29 Aug30 Aug2 Sept
46 recomputations▼ 13 points over the trail
  1. −62mo agonews on a rival destination
  2. −42mo agonews on a rival destination
  3. +42mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting
  4. −42mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting