Manchester United F.C.Aston Villa F.C. · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 26% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    29 Aug
  2. Talks
  3. Agreement
  4. Medical
  5. Done

What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as being in talks

Advancingone report

Why it read 26% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+26
TEAMtalk advancingBroke ittrust 0.40, 46% faded
+5
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−5
Completion probability
26%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457529 Aug: 40%29 Aug: 36%29 Aug: 40%29 Aug: 34%29 Aug: 34%29 Aug: 34%29 Aug: 34%29 Aug: 34%29 Aug: 34%29 Aug: 34%29 Aug: 34%29 Aug: 34%29 Aug: 34%29 Aug: 34%29 Aug: 34%29 Aug: 36%29 Aug: 36%30 Aug: 36%30 Aug: 36%30 Aug: 36%30 Aug: 37%30 Aug: 36%30 Aug: 35%30 Aug: 35%30 Aug: 35%30 Aug: 35%30 Aug: 34%30 Aug: 34%30 Aug: 34%30 Aug: 34%30 Aug: 34%30 Aug: 34%30 Aug: 34%30 Aug: 34%30 Aug: 34%31 Aug: 34%31 Aug: 34%31 Aug: 30%31 Aug: 30%31 Aug: 29%31 Aug: 29%31 Aug: 29%31 Aug: 29%1 Sept: 27%1 Sept: 27%2 Sept: 26%29 Aug: −4 points, with no new post29 Aug: +4 points, with no new post29 Aug: −6 points, with no new post31 Aug: −4 points, with no new post29 Aug30 Aug2 Sept
46 recomputations 13 points over the trail
  1. 618d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  2. 418d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  3. +418d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  4. 417d agono new post; decay or a rival moving