AC Milan → Galatasaray · Loan · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 17% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    29 Aug
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

What was actually said

2 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as being in talks

Advancingone report

🚨🟡🔴 Galatasaray have asked info to AC Milan on Youssouf Fofana during negotiations for Rafa Leão. Fofana can leave on loan and he’d like Galatasaray as next career chapter. https://t.co/AKgJYMCBkD

claims Talks+11 pointsView on X ↗

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report

itGalatasaray has made an enquiry about signing Fofana from AC Milan on loan

.@acmilan, il @GalatasaraySK torna su Fofana: sondaggio per il prestito https://t.co/kmD9y3Lkmc

claims Rumoured+1 pointname shared — matched from contextView on X ↗

Why it read 17% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+27
Fabrizio Romano advancingBroke ittrust 0.75
+11
Gianluca Di Marzio neutralBroke ittrust 0.55, counted at 60%
+1
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−23
Completion probability
17%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457530 Aug: −6 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting31 Aug: −3 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting31 Aug: −10 points, with no post on this move: news on a rival destination1 Sept: −13 points, with no post on this move: news on a rival destination29 Aug30 Aug1 Sept
44 recomputations▼ 38 points over the trail
  1. −132mo agonews on a rival destination
  2. −102mo agonews on a rival destination
  3. −62mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting
  4. −32mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting