Leeds United → Hull City · Permanent · Summer 2026

✓ Confirmedhe is in the squad at his new club · 2mo ago
48%
final reading before it was settled
first reported 3mo agolast moved 3mo ago
  1. Rumoured
    12 Aug
  2. Talks
    12 Aug
  3. Agreement
    13 Aug
  4. Medical
    13 Aug
  5. Done
    —

Catch me up

  1. 12 Augfirst@JacobsBen: Joe Gelhardt close to returning to Hull City from Leeds
  2. 13 AugReached Agreement
  3. 13 AugReached Medical

What was actually said

2 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported at medical stage

Advancingone report

Joe Gelhardt undergoing his Hull City medical Hull City today ahead of signing a 4+1 contract. £4.5m fee.🐯 🤝 @alex_crook https://t.co/VpOGUuMJs2

claims Medical+2 pointsView on X ↗

Reported as being in talks

Advancingone report

Leeds’ Joe Gelhardt close to returning to Hull City, where he scored 15 Championship goals last season.🐯 https://t.co/m3hvKAOlhv

claims Talks+1 pointView on X ↗

Why it read 48% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+46
Ben Jacobs advancingBroke ittrust 0.55, 90% faded
+2
Ben Jacobs advancingBroke ittrust 0.55, 90% faded, counted at 60%
+1
Completion probability
48%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

Not enough history yet. The line appears after a few recalculations.