Leeds United → Manchester City · Permanent · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 20% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    27 Jul
  2. Talks
    27 Jul
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as agreed

Advancingone report

Leeds close to a club-record agreement with Manchester City for James Trafford worth £40m plus add-ons, as @David_Ornstein called. Not finalised yet, but an agreement between clubs is expected this week. It follows Trafford informing Leeds he wants to join.🧤 https://t.co/kEyeEpiZqG https://t.co/YQqDCl0huN

claims AgreementView on X ↗

Why it read 20% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+22
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−2
1 further reporteach worth under half a point
Completion probability
20%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

Not enough history yet. The line appears after a few recalculations.