RB LeipzigManchester City · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 14% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    25 Jul
  2. Talks
  3. Agreement
  4. Medical
  5. Done

Catch me up

  1. 25 Julfirst@Plettigoal: Manchester City have verbally indicated readiness to bid €100m; talks with Leipzig underway but no official offer yet
  2. 25 JulDenial@Plettigoal: No verbal agreement between Yan Diomande and Manchester City
  3. 26 JulJoined by @JacobsBen

What was actually said

4 posts in 4 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Denied outright

Denialone report

Reported as being in talks

Advancingone report
JournalistTier 2weighted 0.55counted at 60%claims TalksView on X ↗

Said to be cooling

Coolingone report
JournalistTier 2weighted 0.55counted at 36%claims RumouredView on X ↗

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report
JournalistTier 2weighted 0.55counted at 22%claims RumouredView on X ↗

Why it read 14% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+15
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−1
6 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
14%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

Not enough history yet. The line appears after a few recalculations.