RB Leipzig → Manchester City · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 14% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    25 Jul
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Catch me up

  1. 25 Julfirst@Plettigoal: Manchester City have verbally indicated readiness to bid €100m; talks with Leipzig underway but no official offer yet
  2. 25 JulDenial@Plettigoal: No verbal agreement between Yan Diomande and Manchester City
  3. 26 JulJoined by @JacobsBen

What was actually said

4 posts in 4 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Denied outright

Denialone report

🚨⏳ Real Madrid now in pole position for Yan Diomande. He now has two verbal agreements in place - with Paris Saint-Germain and Real Madrid, both on contracts running at least until 2031. No verbal agreement with Manchester City. Both Real and PSG are fully informed about the https://t.co/fX5MltuvbL

claims RumouredView on X ↗

Reported as being in talks

Advancingone report

🚨🔵 EXCL | Manchester City have verbally indicated they are also ready to bid €100m for Yan Diomande. No official offer yet, but several talks with Leipzig have taken place as per @philipphinze24. Liverpool and Real Madrid have both had bids worth around €100m rejected. PSG https://t.co/veJuYTWBy0

claims TalksView on X ↗

Said to be cooling

Coolingone report

Real Madrid expected to bid again for Yan Diomande, while PSG remain in talks. Manchester City are not currently active. Real hoping to reach a quick agreement, with potential movement within the next 24 hours. PSG yet to give up on striking a deal with Leipzig either. Key https://t.co/mCG8fiiwnR

claims RumouredView on X ↗

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report

🚨⏳ As things stand, no agreement between RB Leipzig and Real Madrid/PSG for Yan Diomande. New talks today. New bids prepared. PSG remain fully in the race and are not giving up. Leipzig also haven’t ruled out Liverpool or ManCity, although Real Madrid and PSG are currently https://t.co/p0ZftkB2iL

claims RumouredView on X ↗

Why it read 14% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+15
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−1
6 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
14%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

Not enough history yet. The line appears after a few recalculations.