Bayern Munich → Al Hilal SFC · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 5% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    23 Jul
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report

Harry Kane expected to sign a new Bayern deal with talks resuming post-World Cup. Barcelona enquired earlier in window. Al-Hilal, who have been tracking Kane since 2023, have made an approach this summer, as they did 12 months ago.🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 🤝 @SamC_reports https://t.co/oSRixWpW32

claims TalksView on X ↗

Why it read 5% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+14
Contract news at his clubreported by @Plettigoal — about the player, not this move
−9
Contract news at his clubreported by @Plettigoal — about the player, not this move
−1
6 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
5%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457531 Aug: +3 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting29 Aug31 Aug2 Sept
45 recomputations▲ 0 points over the trail
  1. +32mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting