FC Bayern MunichBarcelona · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 7% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    29 Jun
  2. Talks
  3. Agreement
  4. Medical
  5. Done

Catch me up

  1. 29 Junfirst@MirrorFootball: Barcelona have made contact with Harry Kane's representatives about a transfer move
  2. 29 JunCooling@TEAMtalk: Barcelona have reached out to Harry Kane, but his priority after the World Cup is elsewhere.
  3. 29 JunJoined by @TEAMtalk
  4. 23 JulJoined by @JacobsBen
  5. 23 JulAdvancing@TEAMtalk: Barcelona made an approach for Bayern Munich striker Harry Kane

What was actually said

6 posts in 4 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report

Reported as being in talks

Advancing2 reports, led by @TEAMtalk@MirrorFootball had it first, 3mo ago
AggregatorTier 3weighted 0.40counted at 60%claims TalksView on X ↗
1 other post, 1 other source on the same claim
  • @MirrorFootball3mo agono effect

    NEW: Barcelona have launched a sensational transfer move for Harry Kane and 'made contact' with the England captain's representatives 📞 Full story 👇 https://t.co/szhTckXR6M https://t.co/cNakJ1h6N8

Said to be cooling

Cooling2 reports, led by @JacobsBen@TEAMtalk had it first, 3mo ago
JournalistTier 2weighted 0.55counted at 36%claims RumouredView on X ↗
1 other post, 1 other source on the same claim
  • @TEAMtalk3mo agono effect

    Harry Kane wants to stay at Bayern Munich, despite interest from Barcelona #fcbarcelona #fcbayern https://t.co/Tm5KqpQ0fE

Said to be cooling

Coolingone report
AggregatorTier 3weighted 0.40counted at 13%claims TalksView on X ↗

Why it read 7% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+18
Signed a new contractreported by @Plettigoal — about the player, not this move
−10
Signed a new contractreported by @Plettigoal — about the player, not this move
−1
11 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
7%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457529 Aug: 6%29 Aug: 3%29 Aug: 3%29 Aug: 3%29 Aug: 3%29 Aug: 3%29 Aug: 3%29 Aug: 3%29 Aug: 3%29 Aug: 3%29 Aug: 3%29 Aug: 3%29 Aug: 3%29 Aug: 3%29 Aug: 3%29 Aug: 3%30 Aug: 3%30 Aug: 3%30 Aug: 3%30 Aug: 3%30 Aug: 3%30 Aug: 3%30 Aug: 3%30 Aug: 3%30 Aug: 3%30 Aug: 3%30 Aug: 3%30 Aug: 3%30 Aug: 3%30 Aug: 3%30 Aug: 3%30 Aug: 3%30 Aug: 3%30 Aug: 3%31 Aug: 3%31 Aug: 3%31 Aug: 6%31 Aug: 6%31 Aug: 6%31 Aug: 6%31 Aug: 6%31 Aug: 6%1 Sept: 6%1 Sept: 6%2 Sept: 6%29 Aug: −3 points, with no new post31 Aug: +3 points, with no new post29 Aug30 Aug2 Sept
45 recomputations 0 points over the trail
  1. 319d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  2. +317d agono new post; decay or a rival moving