Bayern Munich → Barcelona · Free · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 7% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    29 Jun
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Catch me up

  1. 29 Junfirst@MirrorFootball: Barcelona have made contact with Harry Kane's representatives about a transfer move
  2. 29 JunCooling@TEAMtalk: Barcelona have reached out to Harry Kane, but his priority after the World Cup is elsewhere.
  3. 29 JunJoined by @TEAMtalk
  4. 23 JulJoined by @JacobsBen
  5. 23 JulAdvancing@TEAMtalk: Barcelona made an approach for Bayern Munich striker Harry Kane
  6. 6 OctDenial@TEAMtalk: Harry Kane rejected advances from Barcelona on a free transfer

What was actually said

7 posts in 5 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report

Harry Kane is READY to commit his future to Bayern Munich by signing a contract extension ⌛️ Former club Tottenham and Barcelona have made enquiries for the 33-year-old this summer ⤵️ @GraemeBailey | #THFC https://t.co/rPAECIUlAm

claims RumouredView on X ↗

Reported as being in talks

Advancing2 reports, led by @TEAMtalk@MirrorFootball had it first, 4mo ago

🖋️🔒 Who Harry Kane will play for next season has been revealed after Barcelona made an approach for the Bayern Munich striker ⤵️ https://t.co/FIk29qLjyN

claims TalksView on X ↗
1 other post, 1 other source on the same claim
  • @MirrorFootball4mo ago ↗

    NEW: Barcelona have launched a sensational transfer move for Harry Kane and 'made contact' with the England captain's representatives 📞 Full story 👇 https://t.co/szhTckXR6M https://t.co/cNakJ1h6N8

Said to be cooling

Cooling2 reports, led by @JacobsBen@TEAMtalk had it first, 4mo ago

Harry Kane expected to sign a new Bayern deal with talks resuming post-World Cup. Barcelona enquired earlier in window. Al-Hilal, who have been tracking Kane since 2023, have made an approach this summer, as they did 12 months ago.🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 🤝 @SamC_reports https://t.co/oSRixWpW32

claims RumouredView on X ↗
1 other post, 1 other source on the same claim
  • @TEAMtalk4mo ago ↗

    Harry Kane wants to stay at Bayern Munich, despite interest from Barcelona #fcbarcelona #fcbayern https://t.co/Tm5KqpQ0fE

Said to be cooling

Coolingone report

Barcelona have 'reached out' over signing Harry Kane, but his priority after the World Cup is elsewhere. Full story 👇 https://t.co/x3nxJyyh7a

claims TalksView on X ↗

Denied outright

Denialone report

🔐 Harry Kane reaches agreement in principle over a new Bayern Munich contract, with sources confirming he rejected advances to join Barcelona on a free transfer. Kane's new deal will lock him at #Bayern until 2029, @GraemeBailey writes https://t.co/ZsvTjCAsw8

claims RumouredView on X ↗

Why it read 7% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+18
Contract news at his clubreported by @Plettigoal — about the player, not this move
−10
Contract news at his clubreported by @Plettigoal — about the player, not this move
−1
11 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
7%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457529 Aug: −3 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting31 Aug: +3 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting29 Aug31 Aug2 Sept
45 recomputations▲ 0 points over the trail
  1. −32mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting
  2. +32mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting