Real Madrid → Atlético Madrid · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 12% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    11 Jun
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report

Real Madrid have entered the race for Bernardo Silva and are confident in completing a deal. Atletico Madrid and Barcelona the other clubs who have held talks, but Real optimistic, and aim to finalise an agreement quickly.🇵🇹 https://t.co/R0Dk0Eh3EI

claims TalksView on X ↗

Why it read 12% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+12
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−1
1 further reporteach worth under half a point
Completion probability
12%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

Not enough history yet. The line appears after a few recalculations.