Real MadridManchester United F.C. · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 7% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    11 Aug
  2. Talks
  3. Agreement
  4. Medical
  5. Done

What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as being in talks

Advancingone report

Why it read 7% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+12
Signed a new contractreported by @TEAMtalk — about the player, not this move
−4
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−1
1 further reporteach worth under half a point
Completion probability
7%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457529 Aug: 7%29 Aug: 10%29 Aug: 10%29 Aug: 10%29 Aug: 10%29 Aug: 10%29 Aug: 10%29 Aug: 10%29 Aug: 10%29 Aug: 10%29 Aug: 10%29 Aug: 10%29 Aug: 10%29 Aug: 10%29 Aug: 10%29 Aug: 10%30 Aug: 10%30 Aug: 10%30 Aug: 10%30 Aug: 6%30 Aug: 6%30 Aug: 6%30 Aug: 6%30 Aug: 6%30 Aug: 6%30 Aug: 6%30 Aug: 6%30 Aug: 6%30 Aug: 6%30 Aug: 6%30 Aug: 6%30 Aug: 6%30 Aug: 6%30 Aug: 6%31 Aug: 6%31 Aug: 6%31 Aug: 7%31 Aug: 7%31 Aug: 7%31 Aug: 7%31 Aug: 7%31 Aug: 7%1 Sept: 7%1 Sept: 7%2 Sept: 7%29 Aug: +3 points, with no new post30 Aug: −4 points, with no new post29 Aug30 Aug2 Sept
45 recomputations 0 points over the trail
  1. 418d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  2. +319d agono new post; decay or a rival moving