Real Madrid → Manchester United · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 7% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    11 Aug
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Catch me up

  1. 11 Augfirst@MirrorFootball: Man Utd made a last-minute attempt to sign Real Madrid's Endrick
  2. 9 OctCooling@TEAMtalk: Man Utd's pursuit of Endrick has suffered a setback
  3. 9 OctJoined by @TEAMtalk

What was actually said

2 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as being in talks

Advancingone report

Man Utd's last-minute attempt to sign Real Madrid star Endrick revealed https://t.co/5KmDABIRzq https://t.co/phaqbFvao4

claims TalksView on X ↗

Said to be cooling

Coolingone report

🔴 Man Utd blow in pursuit of Endrick #MUFC #RMCF https://t.co/Ys2ch1coaH

claims RumouredView on X ↗

Why it read 7% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+12
Contract news at his clubreported by @TEAMtalk — about the player, not this move
−4
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−1
1 further reporteach worth under half a point
Completion probability
7%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457529 Aug: +3 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting30 Aug: −4 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting29 Aug30 Aug2 Sept
45 recomputations▲ 0 points over the trail
  1. −42mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting
  2. +32mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting