Real Madrid → Aston Villa · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 7% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    11 Aug
  2. Talks
    11 Aug
  3. Agreement
    11 Aug
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as done

Advancingone report

Aston Villa's dream attack as Endrick joins Ollie Watkins and £95million duo https://t.co/R1ldz7XH9R

claims DoneView on X ↗

Why it read 7% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+12
Contract news at his clubreported by @TEAMtalk — about the player, not this move
−4
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−1
1 further reporteach worth under half a point
Completion probability
7%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457529 Aug: +18 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting29 Aug: −19 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting29 Aug29 Aug2 Sept
45 recomputations▲ 0 points over the trail
  1. −192mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting
  2. +182mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting