Bayern Munich → Liverpool · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 10% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    —
  2. Talks
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  3. Agreement
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  4. Medical
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  5. Done
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What was actually said

3 posts in 3 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Said to be cooling

Coolingone report

"He'll play an important role" ✅ Bayern Munich sporting director Christoph Freund says that in-demand Liverpool target Michael Olise is going nowhere ❌ https://t.co/5es5qloE3m https://t.co/vNhIg8bkg5

claims RumouredView on X ↗

Reported as a live interest

Advancingone report

Michael Olise 'desperate' to leave Bayern Munich as Liverpool transfer target takes action https://t.co/atNfxMBQpz https://t.co/JDnvHClDHg

claims RumouredView on X ↗

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report

Bayern Munich are planning to offer Michael Olise a lucrative new contract amid interest from Real Madrid and Liverpool 🤑🔒 https://t.co/BaiEetvjiZ https://t.co/FIkz0OrsgS

claims RumouredView on X ↗

Why it read 10% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+12
Contract news at his clubreported by @Plettigoal — about the player, not this move
−2
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−1
3 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
10%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457529 Aug30 Aug2 Sept
45 recomputations▲ 1 points over the trail