Real MadridManchester United F.C. · Permanent · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 16% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    19 Jun
  2. Talks
    27 Jun
  3. Agreement
    26 Jul
  4. Medical
  5. Done

Catch me up

  1. 19 Junfirst@TEAMtalk: Aurelien Tchouameni to Man Utd possible according to a top source
  2. 27 JunReached Talks
  3. 9 JulJoined by @MirrorFootball
  4. 26 JulReached Agreement
  5. 26 JulReached Done
  6. 6 AugCooling@TEAMtalk: New developments mean it looks unlikely Aurelien Tchouameni will arrive at Man Utd this summer

What was actually said

29 posts in 5 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Said to be cooling

Cooling2 reports, led by @TEAMtalk
1 other post on the same claim
  • @TEAMtalk1mo agono effect

    🔴 Man Utd get bad news about signing Aurelien Tchouameni #MUFC #RMCF https://t.co/sUGTvp04Um

Reported as done

Advancingone report
AggregatorTier 4weighted 0.20counted at 36%claims DoneView on X ↗

Reported as a live interest

Advancing6 reports, led by @MirrorFootball@TEAMtalk had it first, 3mo ago
AggregatorTier 4weighted 0.20counted at 22%claims RumouredView on X ↗
5 other posts, 1 other source on the same claim
  • @TEAMtalk2mo agono effect

    🔴 Man Utd still believe a deal for Real Madrid star Aurelien Tchouameni is possible #MUFC #RMCF https://t.co/ZZIPR9yu0H

  • @MirrorFootball2mo agono effect

    NEW: Real Madrid are 'open' to selling Aurelien Tchouameni in a major boost for Man Utd 🇫🇷 https://t.co/gDJo5gmQqu https://t.co/Yw5XQ3DjU1

  • @TEAMtalk3mo agono effect

    🤑 Man Utd are willing to make Real Madrid star Aurelien Tchouameni one of their top earners, a journalist has revealed All the details🔗⤵️ #MUFC https://t.co/MpWgbOx6NG

  • @TEAMtalk3mo agono effect

    🤩 Man Utd have received encouragement they can sign Aurelien Tchouameni this summer #MUFC https://t.co/7CUHeRoOF9

  • @TEAMtalk3mo agono effect

    🇫🇷 Man Utd want to sign Aurelien Tchouameni over Carlos Baleba or Adam Wharton, but Real Madrid could make the move difficult 👇 #MUFC https://t.co/e3Lzq6Fngb

Reported as being in talks

Advancing9 reports, led by @TEAMtalk@TEAMtalk had it first, 3mo ago
AggregatorTier 3weighted 0.40counted at 5%claims TalksView on X ↗
8 other posts, 1 other source on the same claim
  • @TEAMtalk3mo agono effect

    🤩 Aurelien Tchouameni to Man Utd clears hurdle #MUFC https://t.co/MpWgbOxEDe

  • @TEAMtalk2mo agono effect

    🔴⚫️🇫🇷 The latest updates on Aurelien Tchouameni to Man Utd are VERY good news for the Red Devils #MUFC Full details 📎 https://t.co/8KUMHbVrHb

  • @TEAMtalk2mo agono effect

    🚨 Man Utd have reportedly made a new approach for top midfield target Aurelien Tchouameni Two journalists have explained why the star could join United despite talk of a new deal at Real Madrid ⤵️ #MUFC https://t.co/JITwWhed2w

  • @TEAMtalk3mo agono effect

    🙌 Good news in Man Utd's pursuit of Real Madrid star Aurelien Tchouameni 🇫🇷⬇️ #MUFC https://t.co/7CUHeRogPB

  • @TEAMtalk2mo agono effect

    Man Utd have made an offer to Real Madrid defensive midfielder Aurelien Tchouameni #mufc #rmcf https://t.co/bPNyZTmTpp

  • @TEAMtalk2mo agono effect

    ⚪️ Real Madrid must sell players if they're to sign Rodri and Yan Diomande ❗️ Man Utd are now ready to swoop for Aurelien Tchouameni Full details 📎 https://t.co/NelF1NX896

  • @MirrorFootball2mo agono effect

    Man Utd news: Aurelien Tchouameni green light as cut-price transfer deal emerges  https://t.co/0mN1MuMXPB

  • @MirrorFootball2mo agono effect

    Man Utd news: Real Madrid in Aurelien Tchouameni transfer U-turn as talks held with star's agent https://t.co/azanZYIvTd

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutral11 reports, led by @TEAMtalk@TEAMtalk had it first, 3mo ago
AggregatorTier 3weighted 0.40counted at 0%claims RumouredView on X ↗
10 other posts on the same claim
  • @TEAMtalk3mo agono effect

    Aurelien Tchouameni to Man Utd possible, according to a top source #MUFC #RMCF https://t.co/XqCzym56mE

  • @TEAMtalk3mo agono effect

    🔴⚫️ Paul Scholes left frustrated by Man Utd over this summer's transfer business to date following the club's refusal to spend big on three top midfield targets. The United legend is also unconvinced by links to Aurelien Tchouameni ⏬ https://t.co/KmikZijq0U #MUFC #transfers

  • @TEAMtalk3mo agono effect

    🔥 Victor Osimhen and Aurelien Tchouameni have been described as 'dream' transfer targets for Man Utd 🤩 #MUFC https://t.co/QvOXY5M7Gt

  • @TEAMtalk3mo agono effect

    🔴 Real Madrid midfielder Aurelien Tchouameni is now Man Utd's number one target #RMCF #MUFC https://t.co/LWz2OyY1hY

  • @TEAMtalk2mo agono effect

    🔴 Man Utd plan Real Madrid raid for Aurelien Tchouameni #mufc #rmcf https://t.co/fALxZIxR80

  • @TEAMtalk2mo agono effect

    🚨 Rodri to Real Madrid, Aurelien Tchouameni to Man Utd ⤵️ https://t.co/pJur0YguTY

  • @TEAMtalk2mo agono effect

    ‼️ Manchester United's chances of persuading Real Madrid to sell Aurelien Tchouameni this summer have been rated by two sources 🔸 "Daft money needed" 🔸 "He's the dream target" https://t.co/qqlN7kfrp5 #MUFC #RMCF

  • @TEAMtalk2mo agono effect

    🤝 Ederson to Man Utd remains firmly ON despite claims of a 'collapse', and Aurelien Tchouameni is their next target 🔥 #MUFC https://t.co/abuZXYs9lU

  • @TEAMtalk2mo agono effect

    🔴 Man Utd delight as a reporter claims Real Madrid could still sell Aurelien Tchouameni #MUFC #RMCF https://t.co/Kij4Uhrvct

  • @TEAMtalk2mo agono effect

    🔴 Real Madrid want record-breaking fee for Aurelien Tchouameni from Man Utd #rmcf #mufc https://t.co/nTCnOCfIoS

Why it read 16% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+18
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−1
29 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
16%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457529 Aug: 17%29 Aug: 37%29 Aug: 37%29 Aug: 37%29 Aug: 37%29 Aug: 37%29 Aug: 37%29 Aug: 37%29 Aug: 37%29 Aug: 37%29 Aug: 37%29 Aug: 37%29 Aug: 37%29 Aug: 37%29 Aug: 17%29 Aug: 17%30 Aug: 17%30 Aug: 17%30 Aug: 17%30 Aug: 17%30 Aug: 17%30 Aug: 17%30 Aug: 17%30 Aug: 17%30 Aug: 17%30 Aug: 17%30 Aug: 17%30 Aug: 17%30 Aug: 17%30 Aug: 17%30 Aug: 17%30 Aug: 17%30 Aug: 17%30 Aug: 17%31 Aug: 17%31 Aug: 17%31 Aug: 17%31 Aug: 17%31 Aug: 17%31 Aug: 17%31 Aug: 17%31 Aug: 17%1 Sept: 16%1 Sept: 16%2 Sept: 16%29 Aug: +20 points, with no new post29 Aug: −20 points, with no new post29 Aug30 Aug2 Sept
45 recomputations 1 points over the trail
  1. +2018d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  2. 2018d agono new post; decay or a rival moving