Aston Villa → Arsenal · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 9% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
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  2. Talks
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  3. Agreement
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  4. Medical
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  5. Done
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What was actually said

2 posts in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutral2 reports, led by @MirrorFootball

Man Utd and Arsenal in £40m Ollie Watkins transfer battle with 'official approach' anticipated https://t.co/shw07lLudN https://t.co/ffJYlfS4gm

claims RumouredView on X ↗
1 other post on the same claim
  • @MirrorFootball3mo ago ↗

    Arsenal have a trump card to beat Man Utd in the race to sign Aston Villa's Ollie Watkins 🃏 https://t.co/A7QpnwLpcT https://t.co/nPlCyHLIJl

Why it read 9% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+12
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−3
2 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
9%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457529 Aug29 Aug30 Aug
22 recomputations▲ 0 points over the trail