Aston Villa F.C.Manchester United F.C. · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 11% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    24 Jul
  2. Talks
  3. Agreement
  4. Medical
  5. Done

Catch me up

  1. 24 Julfirst@TEAMtalk: Manchester United expected to bid for Ollie Watkins if Joshua Zirkzee leaves
  2. 24 JulJoined by @MirrorFootball
  3. 29 JulReached Talks

What was actually said

3 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Said to be cooling

Coolingone report

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutral2 reports, led by @TEAMtalk
AggregatorTier 3weighted 0.60counted at 60%claims RumouredView on X ↗
1 other post, 1 other source on the same claim
  • @MirrorFootball2mo agono effect

    Man Utd and Arsenal in £40m Ollie Watkins transfer battle with 'official approach' anticipated https://t.co/shw07lLudN https://t.co/ffJYlfS4gm

Why it read 11% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+16
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−4
3 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
11%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457529 Aug: 11%29 Aug: 11%29 Aug: 11%29 Aug: 11%29 Aug: 11%29 Aug: 11%29 Aug: 11%29 Aug: 11%29 Aug: 11%29 Aug: 11%29 Aug: 11%29 Aug: 11%29 Aug: 11%29 Aug: 11%29 Aug: 11%29 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 11%29 Aug29 Aug30 Aug
22 recomputations 0 points over the trail