Aston Villa → Manchester United · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 11% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    24 Jul
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Catch me up

  1. 24 Julfirst@TEAMtalk: Manchester United expected to bid for Ollie Watkins if Joshua Zirkzee leaves
  2. 24 JulJoined by @MirrorFootball
  3. 29 JulReached Talks

What was actually said

3 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Said to be cooling

Coolingone report

🔴⚫️ Man Utd have been told to significantly raise their bid if they are to convince Aston Villa to sell Ollie Watkins. However, the Red Devils are making room for a new striker with Joshua Zirkzee locked in talks with Juventus https://t.co/SxmqFVJ4cF #MUFC #AVFC #transfers

claims TalksView on X ↗

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutral2 reports, led by @TEAMtalk

🔴Manchester United are reportedly expected to bid for Aston Villa striker Ollie Watkins should Joshua Zirkzee leave... #MUFC #AVFC https://t.co/jTRdZjGRjl

claims RumouredView on X ↗
1 other post, 1 other source on the same claim
  • @MirrorFootball3mo ago ↗

    Man Utd and Arsenal in £40m Ollie Watkins transfer battle with 'official approach' anticipated https://t.co/shw07lLudN https://t.co/ffJYlfS4gm

Why it read 11% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+16
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−4
3 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
11%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457529 Aug29 Aug30 Aug
22 recomputations▲ 0 points over the trail