Manchester United F.C.Tottenham Hotspur F.C. · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 10% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    22 Jun
  2. Talks
    23 Jun
  3. Agreement
    21 Jul
  4. Medical
  5. Done

Catch me up

  1. 22 Junfirst@MirrorFootball: Tottenham ready to bid for Marcus Rashford as part of £170m spending spree
  2. 22 JunJoined by @TEAMtalk
  3. 23 JunReached Talks
  4. 27 JunDenial@TEAMtalk: Marcus Rashford does not want to join Tottenham from Man Utd
  5. 21 JulReached Agreement
  6. 21 JulReached Done
  7. 21 JulAdvancing@MirrorFootball: Marcus Rashford transfer to Tottenham completed

What was actually said

8 posts in 5 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as done

Advancingone report

Denied outright

Denialone report
AggregatorTier 3weighted 0.40counted at 60%claims RumouredView on X ↗

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutral4 reports, led by @TEAMtalk@TEAMtalk had it first, 3mo ago
AggregatorTier 3weighted 0.40counted at 36%claims RumouredView on X ↗
3 other posts on the same claim
  • @TEAMtalk3mo agono effect

    ⚪️ Tottenham Hotspur poised to launch bid to bring Marcus Rashford to north London as De Zerbi's summer recruitment drive takes another bold step forward. But while Man Utd are open to his sale, the player may need some convincing.... https://t.co/Rd8QOxBZLd #THFC #MUFC

  • @TEAMtalk3mo agono effect

    🔴 Tottenham going big for Man Utd winger Marcus Rashford #THFC #MUFC https://t.co/zY8z1K2qAD

  • @TEAMtalk3mo ago

    Rashford’s salary at United will increase to £325,000-a-week next month, and it has been suggested that Tottenham would meet his wage demands https://t.co/mW0Mhvy64Z

Reported as a live interest

Advancingone report
AggregatorTier 4weighted 0.20counted at 22%claims RumouredView on X ↗

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report
AggregatorTier 3weighted 0.40counted at 13%claims TalksView on X ↗

Why it read 10% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+15
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−4
7 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
10%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

Not enough history yet. The line appears after a few recalculations.