Atlético Madrid → Manchester United · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 10% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    25 Jun
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

What was actually said

2 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as being in talks

Advancingone report

Man Utd 'make contact' with Julian Alvarez as Arsenal and Barcelona transfer hijack rumoured https://t.co/ZdUxJY2wW4 https://t.co/4MMFU36g4O

claims TalksView on X ↗

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report

A journalist has ambitiously claimed Man Utd have approached Julian Alvarez's agents 🤯 Tough to see this transfer happening 😅 #MUFC https://t.co/tY5Os2YXWN

claims TalksView on X ↗

Why it read 10% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+13
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−3
2 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
10%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457529 Aug30 Aug1 Sept
25 recomputations▲ 0 points over the trail