Arsenal → Real Madrid · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 11% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
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  2. Talks
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  3. Agreement
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  4. Medical
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  5. Done
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What was actually said

3 posts in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutral3 reports, led by @TEAMtalk@TEAMtalk had it first, 5mo ago

Jose Mourinho reportedly wants Piero Hincapie at Real Madrid, despite the fact the Ecuador star only just signed permanently for Arsenal 🤔 #RMCF #Arsenal https://t.co/kTnaVmYcGU

claims RumouredView on X ↗
2 other posts, 1 other source on the same claim
  • @TEAMtalk5mo ago ↗

    🔴Piero Hincapie has now been linked with Real Madrid 👀 #AFC #RMCF https://t.co/VDtWz5SKUN

  • @MirrorFootball5mo ago ↗

    Arsenal star Piero Hincapie is a 'target for Real Madrid', as Jose Mourinho looks to continue his spending spree 🤑 https://t.co/5ERM89CnQa https://t.co/zYwLQu8CXP

Why it read 11% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+12
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−1
3 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
11%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

Not enough history yet. The line appears after a few recalculations.