Manchester United → Liverpool · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 9% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    13 Jun
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Catch me up

  1. 13 Junfirst@TEAMtalk: Liverpool preparing a first bid for Marcus Rashford
  2. 16 JunCooling@MirrorFootball: Man Utd blocking Liverpool move for Marcus Rashford
  3. 16 JunJoined by @MirrorFootball

What was actually said

2 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as being in talks

Advancingone report

❗️ Liverpool are helping to solve Man Utd's Marcus Rashford problem with a tempting first bid now inbound Full details 📎 https://t.co/9X4oMvok7o

claims TalksView on X ↗

Said to be cooling

Coolingone report

Marcus Rashford set for showdown talks as Man Utd block Liverpool and Man City moves https://t.co/mBmIjdsLYN https://t.co/vxSf4wGGen

claims RumouredView on X ↗

Why it read 9% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+12
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−4
2 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
9%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

Not enough history yet. The line appears after a few recalculations.