to Arsenal · Summer 2026

✓ Confirmedhe is in the squad at his new club · 5mo ago
11%
final reading before it was settled
first reported 5mo agolast moved 5mo ago
  1. Rumoured
    15 Jun
  2. Talks
    15 Jun
  3. Agreement
    15 Jun
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    15 Jun

What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as done

Advancingone report

Arsenal get clear Riccardo Calafiori transfer update after club confirm signing https://t.co/gRcdzyHwd9 https://t.co/4xGCWlNVZ7

claims DoneView on X ↗

Why it read 11% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+12
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−1
1 further reporteach worth under half a point
Completion probability
11%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

Not enough history yet. The line appears after a few recalculations.