Red Bull Salzburg → Hull City · Permanent · Summer 2026

✓ Confirmedhe is in the squad at his new club · 3mo ago
35%
final reading before it was settled
first reported 3mo agolast moved 3mo ago
  1. Rumoured
    12 Aug
  2. Talks
    12 Aug
  3. Agreement
    12 Aug
  4. Medical
    12 Aug
  5. Done
    15 Aug

Catch me up

  1. 12 Augfirst@David_Ornstein: Lucas Gourna-Douath undergoing medical ahead of joining Hull City from RB Salzburg for €4m on 5-year contract
  2. 12 AugJoined by @Plettigoal
  3. 15 AugReached Done
  4. 15 AugJoined by @JacobsBen

What was actually said

3 posts in 3 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as agreed

Advancingone report

🚨🐯 Hull City are now finalising the transfer of Lucas Gourna-Douath. Full agreement reached with RB Salzburg. Deal worth €3.5m guaranteed plus add-ons plus a 10% sell-on clause. The transfer is in its final stages with the Premier League newcomers, and the 23 y/o midfielder https://t.co/ZbFuHPK0p5

claims Agreement+1 pointView on X ↗

Reported at medical stage

Advancingone report

🚨 Lucas Gourna-Douath undergoing medical ahead of joining Hull City from RB Salzburg. Deal agreed between #HCFC & #Salzburg for 23yo defensive midfielder worth €4m + personal terms in place on 5yr contract through June 2031 @TheAthleticFC after @sebnonda https://t.co/kKHvz9MCn6

claims MedicalView on X ↗

Reported as done

Advancingone report

Hull City confirm French defensive midfielder Lucas Gourna-Douath has joined from Salzburg on a five-year contract. €4m fee.🐯 https://t.co/KpL2WbaZNB

claims DoneView on X ↗

Why it read 35% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+33
Florian Plettenberg advancingBroke ittrust 0.55, 91% faded
+1
Completion probability
35%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

Not enough history yet. The line appears after a few recalculations.