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Winter 2027

Otávio

MF

C.F. Estrela da Amadora → Eintracht Frankfurt · Permanent · Summer 2026

✓ Confirmedchecked against the public record · 2mo ago · source ↗
No reading before it settled
it was confirmed before the model scored it
  1. Rumoured
    25 Jul
  2. Talks
    25 Jul
  3. Agreement
    25 Jul
  4. Medical
    27 Jul
  5. Done
    25 Jul

What was actually said

2 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported at medical stage

Advancingone report

Reported as done

Advancingone report
JournalistTier 2weighted 0.55counted at 60%claims DoneView on X ↗

Why it read 15% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+15
2 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
15%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457529 Aug: 27%29 Aug: 27%29 Aug: 27%29 Aug: 27%29 Aug: 27%29 Aug: 27%29 Aug: 27%29 Aug: 27%29 Aug: 27%29 Aug: 27%29 Aug: 27%29 Aug: 27%29 Aug: 27%29 Aug: 27%29 Aug: 27%29 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 15%30 Aug: 15%30 Aug: 15%30 Aug: 15%30 Aug: 15%30 Aug: 15%30 Aug: 15%31 Aug: 15%31 Aug: 15%31 Aug: 15%31 Aug: 15%31 Aug: 15%31 Aug: 15%31 Aug: 15%31 Aug: 15%1 Sept: 15%1 Sept: 15%2 Sept: 15%29 Aug: −15 points, with no new post30 Aug: +3 points, with no new post29 Aug30 Aug2 Sept
45 recomputations▼ 12 points over the trail
  1. −1520d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  2. +319d agono new post; decay or a rival moving