TransferHype
Winter 2027

Otávio

MF

C.F. Estrela da Amadora → Eintracht Frankfurt · Permanent · Summer 2026

✓ Confirmedchecked against the public record · 3mo ago · source ↗
No reading before it settled
it was confirmed before the model scored it
  1. Rumoured
    25 Jul
  2. Talks
    25 Jul
  3. Agreement
    25 Jul
  4. Medical
    27 Jul
  5. Done
    25 Jul

What was actually said

2 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported at medical stage

Advancingone report

🚨⤵️ Otávio is set to undergo his medical very soon. He’s set to join Frankfurt’s training camp at Chiemsee in the next days. €4.5 million plus bonuses. Contract until 2031. https://t.co/oxFXAXRSDj

claims MedicalView on X ↗

Reported as done

Advancingone report

🚨💥 EXCL | Otávio to Eintracht Frankfurt - DONE DEAL ✔️ Full agreement reached with Estrela Amadora. Transfer fee: €4.5 million for the 20 y/o talented centre-back. @SkySportDE 🇧🇷 https://t.co/1CWJM8FY8u

claims DoneView on X ↗

Why it read 15% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+15
2 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
15%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457529 Aug: −15 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting30 Aug: +3 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting29 Aug29 Aug2 Sept
45 recomputations▼ 12 points over the trail
  1. −152mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting
  2. +32mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting