1. FSV Mainz 05SK Sturm Graz · Loan · Summer 2026

Confirmedchecked against the public record · 2mo ago · source ↗
No reading before it settled
it was confirmed before the model scored it
  1. Rumoured
    17 Jul
  2. Talks
    17 Jul
  3. Agreement
    17 Jul
  4. Medical
  5. Done
    17 Jul

What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as done

Advancingone report

Why it read 14% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+14
1 further reporteach worth under half a point
Completion probability
14%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457529 Aug: 21%29 Aug: 21%29 Aug: 21%29 Aug: 21%29 Aug: 21%29 Aug: 21%29 Aug: 21%29 Aug: 21%29 Aug: 21%29 Aug: 21%29 Aug: 21%29 Aug: 21%29 Aug: 21%29 Aug: 21%29 Aug: 12%29 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 14%30 Aug: 14%30 Aug: 14%30 Aug: 14%30 Aug: 14%30 Aug: 14%30 Aug: 14%31 Aug: 14%31 Aug: 14%31 Aug: 14%31 Aug: 14%31 Aug: 14%31 Aug: 14%31 Aug: 14%31 Aug: 14%1 Sept: 14%1 Sept: 14%2 Sept: 14%29 Aug: −9 points, with no new post29 Aug30 Aug2 Sept
45 recomputations 7 points over the trail
  1. 920d agono new post; decay or a rival moving