TransferHype
Winter 2027

Brajan Gruda

MF

Brighton → RB Leipzig · Loan · Summer 2026

✓ Confirmedhe is in the squad at his new club · 4mo ago
No reading before it settled
it was confirmed before the model scored it
  1. Rumoured
    7 Jul
  2. Talks
    7 Jul
  3. Agreement
    7 Jul
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    7 Jul

What was actually said

2 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as done

Advancingone report

🚨💥 EXCL | Brajan Gruda to RB Leipzig - DONE DEAL ✔️ Full agreement reached with Brighton. Loan with an obligation to buy agreed. Total package worth between €25m and €30m. Only final details and paperwork remain. Gruda is set to become Micho Demichelis’ first signing. https://t.co/GFItqv5K1T

claims DoneView on X ↗

Reported as agreed

Advancingone report

🚨⏳ EXCL | RB Leipzig and Brighton have now reached a verbal agreement over a deal for Brajan Gruda. The final details and paperwork still need to be completed. Once that’s done, Gruda will become Micho Demichelis’ first signing. @philipphinze24 @SkySportDE 🇩🇪 https://t.co/8yyQ2VgVS0

claims AgreementView on X ↗

Why it read 13% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+13
2 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
13%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457529 Aug: −4 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting29 Aug29 Aug2 Sept
45 recomputations▼ 4 points over the trail
  1. −42mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting