TransferHype
Winter 2027

Joško Gvardiol

DF

Manchester City → Real Madrid · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 3% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    10 Jun
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Catch me up

  1. 10 Junfirst@FabrizioRomano: Real Madrid discussed Gvardiol as a defender option; Manchester City offered him a new deal with salary rise last week
  2. 10 JunJoined by @Plettigoal, @TEAMtalk
  3. 11 JunAdvancing@TEAMtalk: Real Madrid have decided on Josko Gvardiol as their top defensive target
  4. 14 JunCooling@TEAMtalk: Real Madrid moved away from signing Josko Gvardiol from Manchester City

What was actually said

4 posts in 4 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Said to be cooling

Coolingone report

🚨 During meeting at Real Madrid with José Mourinho defenders were also discussed. Josko Gvardiol high on list and was never a possibility for Bayern — but #MCFC offered him new deal with salary rise last week. Calafiori deal not advanced so far. 🎥➕ https://t.co/VIi52EQcdf https://t.co/LWdtaTiPJl

claims TalksView on X ↗

Said to be cooling

Coolingone report

⚪️ Jose Mourinho was happy for Real Madrid to pivot to Marc Cucurella after it became clear Josko Gvardiol would not join from Manchester City @GraemeBailey | #RMFC https://t.co/L6Ajj3ozQb

claims RumouredView on X ↗

Reported as a live interest

Advancingone report

Real Madrid have decided on Man City star Josko Gvardiol as their TOP defensive target 🔥 The LaLiga giants are also admirers of Arsenal's Riccardo Calafiori and Chelsea's Levi Colwill... @GraemeBailey | #RMCF #MCFC #AFC #CFC https://t.co/MrW4q9igdI

claims RumouredView on X ↗

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report

🚨📈 EXCL | Manchester City are offering Josko Gvardiol a new contract until 2031 with improved salary terms. #MCFC As revealed today, the situation is clear: either Gvardiol extends his contract with ManCity or a move to Real Madrid will be pushed this summer. @SkySportDE 🇭🇷 https://t.co/RPUiGgI7nx

claims RumouredView on X ↗

Why it read 3% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+12
Contract news at his clubreported by @FabrizioRomano — about the player, not this move
−7
Contract news at his clubreported by @JacobsBen — about the player, not this move
−2
Contract news at his clubreported by @Plettigoal — about the player, not this move
−1
5 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
3%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457529 Aug30 Aug2 Sept
45 recomputations▲ 1 points over the trail