Brentford → Manchester United · Permanent · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 15% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    20 Jun
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

What was actually said

3 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as being in talks

Advancingone report

🔴⚫️🇧🇷 Man Utd have 'discussed' the potential signing of Brentford's Igor Thiago and held a 'call' with the player #MUFC ℹ️ Thiago scored 22 Premier League goals last year, but struggled mightily with Brazil at the World Cup Full details 📎 https://t.co/Zr5oP7rogu

claims TalksView on X ↗

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutral2 reports, led by @TEAMtalk@TEAMtalk had it first, 5mo ago

🔴⚫Manchester United are likely to sign an experienced striker this summer, as Ben Jacobs reveals two options, after Brentford centre-forward Igor Thiago was linked. #MUFC https://t.co/uygaFP6hgf

claims RumouredView on X ↗
1 other post on the same claim
  • @TEAMtalk5mo ago ↗

    🇧🇷 Man Utd and Arsenal are competing for the £69m signing of Brentford striker Igor Thiago, according to a report 🗞️ #MUFC #AFC https://t.co/vRLrBfmtfn

Why it read 15% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+16
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−1
3 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
15%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457529 Aug2 Sept
45 recomputations▼ 1 points over the trail