esJulián Alvarez has completed a move to Atlético and is now a rojiblanco player.
Unknown club → Atlético Madrid · Summer 2026
✓ Confirmedhe is in the squad at his new club · 18d ago
12%
final reading before it was settled
first reported 3mo agolast moved 18d ago
- Rumoured10 Jun
- Talks10 Jun
- Agreement1 Sept
- Medical—
- Done1 Sept
Catch me up
- 10 Junfirst@TEAMtalk: Atletico Madrid's bid for Julian Alvarez was rejected
- 29 JulAdvancing@TEAMtalk: Atletico Madrid have handed Julian Alvarez a three-tier ultimatum
- 23 AugDenial@FabrizioRomano: Atlético Madrid president Cerezo denies any intention to sell Julián Álvarez, confirming he remains an Atlético player
- 23 AugJoined by @FabrizioRomano
- 1 SeptReached Agreement
- 1 SeptReached Done
- 1 SeptAdvancing@MatteMoretto: esJulián Alvarez has completed a move to Atlético and is now a rojiblanco player.
- 1 SeptJoined by @MatteMoretto
What was actually said
4 posts in 4 claims, grouped by stage and direction.
Reported as done
Advancingone reportDenied outright
Denialone reportReported as being in talks
Advancingone reportSaid to be cooling
Coolingone reportWhy it read 12% before it settled
Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+30
MatteMoretto advancingBroke ittrust 0.75
+18
FabrizioRomano denialBroke ittrust 0.75, 73% faded, counted at 60%
−5
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−31
2 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
12%
Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.
Probability over time
- +420d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
- −420d agono new post; decay or a rival moving