Real Madrid → Liverpool · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 2% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    24 Jul
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

What was actually said

2 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as being in talks

Advancingone report

🔴 Along with Arsenal, Liverpool and Man City are also interested in Vinicius Junior and have held talks, sources tell TEAMtalk @GraemeBailey | #AFC #LFC #MCFC #RMCF https://t.co/k3jXGZ3dQ9

claims TalksView on X ↗

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report

🔴 Liverpool plan Vinicius Junior signing in 2027 👀 #LFC #RMCF https://t.co/4DEKoyo6q6

claims RumouredView on X ↗

Why it read 2% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+15
Contract news at his clubreported by @FabrizioRomano — about the player, not this move
−9
Contract news at his clubreported by @David_Ornstein — about the player, not this move
−3
Contract news at his clubreported by @JacobsBen — about the player, not this move
−1
15 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
2%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457529 Aug31 Aug2 Sept
45 recomputations▲ 0 points over the trail