Real Madrid → Manchester City · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 2% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    25 Jul
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as being in talks

Advancingone report

🔴 Along with Arsenal, Liverpool and Man City are also interested in Vinicius Junior and have held talks, sources tell TEAMtalk @GraemeBailey | #AFC #LFC #MCFC #RMCF https://t.co/k3jXGZ3dQ9

claims TalksView on X ↗

Why it read 2% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+15
Contract news at his clubreported by @FabrizioRomano — about the player, not this move
−9
Contract news at his clubreported by @David_Ornstein — about the player, not this move
−3
Contract news at his clubreported by @JacobsBen — about the player, not this move
−1
14 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
2%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457529 Aug31 Aug2 Sept
45 recomputations▲ 0 points over the trail