Crystal Palace → Manchester United · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 11% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    2 Jul
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

What was actually said

3 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutral2 reports, led by @TEAMtalk

🔴⚫️ Ismaila Sarr drops a massive admission over Manchester United transfer after responding to our exclusive story revealing the Crystal Palace frontman is wanted at Old Trafford💣 https://t.co/roWnzR0cho #MUFC #transfers

claims RumouredView on X ↗
1 other post on the same claim
  • @TEAMtalk4mo ago ↗

    🔴⚫️ Ismaila Sarr quoted as saying "I love Manchester United with all my heart" as Crystal Palace star responds to our exclusive story revealing the Crystal Palace frontman is wanted at Old Trafford💣 https://t.co/roWnzR0cho #MUFC #CPFC #transfers

Reported as being in talks

Advancingone report

🚨 Manchester United 𝗘𝗫𝗖𝗟𝗨𝗦𝗜𝗩𝗘 Our sources can reveal that INEOS have made contact with the representatives of Ismaila Sarr to ask about a potential deal. The Senegal striker has shone at the World Cup 🇸🇳 @GraemeBailey | #MUFC #CPFC https://t.co/OzkTC2GMeV

claims TalksView on X ↗

Why it read 11% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+14
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−3
3 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
11%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457529 Aug30 Aug2 Sept
45 recomputations▼ 1 points over the trail