Manchester City → Arsenal · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 11% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
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  2. Talks
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  3. Agreement
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  4. Medical
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  5. Done
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What was actually said

2 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as a live interest

Advancingone report

🔴⚪️ Arsenal understood to be strongly considering a move for John Stones amid William Saliba injury fears The departing Man City man is also wanted by several Premier League sides, while three Euro juggernauts have also held talks @GraemeBailey https://t.co/cOBJfWX8OQ #AFC

claims RumouredView on X ↗

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report

🔴⚪️ Arsenal hold the advantage over Chelsea in the race for former Man City star John Stones, we can reveal @FrazFletcher #AFC #CFC https://t.co/pSNOXAVdcl

claims RumouredView on X ↗

Why it read 11% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+12
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−1
2 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
11%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

Not enough history yet. The line appears after a few recalculations.