Monaco → Sunderland · Permanent · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 9% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    20 Jul
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as being in talks

Advancingone report

🚨EXCL: Sunderland have held talks over the signing of Monaco and USA striker, Folarin Balogun, who'll cost around £40m ℹ️ Newcastle are among the cluster of Premier League sides Sunderland are pushing to beat Full details via @GraemeBailey ⤵️ https://t.co/QzSP5aloYb

claims TalksView on X ↗

Why it read 9% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+14
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−5
1 further reporteach worth under half a point
Completion probability
9%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457529 Aug31 Aug2 Sept
45 recomputations▼ 3 points over the trail