Barcelona → Chelsea · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 7% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    —
  2. Talks
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  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Denied outright

Denialone report

Marc Casado has no interest in joining Chelsea or Man City this summer, despite enquiries ❌ Man Utd are among six other Premier League teams interested in the Barcelona midfielder 🔥 @GraemeBailey | #CFC #MCFC #MUFC https://t.co/v7PP5NbM33

claims RumouredView on X ↗

Why it read 7% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+12
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−5
1 further reporteach worth under half a point
Completion probability
7%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457529 Aug31 Aug2 Sept
45 recomputations▼ 2 points over the trail