Manchester United → Chelsea · Permanent · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 19% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    11 Jul
  2. Talks
    11 Jul
  3. Agreement
    11 Jul
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

What was actually said

2 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as done

Advancingone report

💰 Man Utd have learned the exact amount they'll receive via their 10% sell-on clause in Alejandro Garnacho's contract, with Chelsea approving a sale #MUFC #CFC Full details 📎 https://t.co/Sqa79LJgsF

claims DoneView on X ↗

Said to be cooling

Coolingone report

😲 Aston Villa have reportedly 'already decided' to 'freeze out' Alejandro Garnacho to avoid a permanent deal with Chelsea. Full story 👇 https://t.co/R9V2EVkBRZ

claims RumouredView on X ↗

Why it read 19% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+19
1 further reporteach worth under half a point
Completion probability
19%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

Not enough history yet. The line appears after a few recalculations.