Roma → Sunderland · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 21% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    9 Jul
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

What was actually said

3 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Said to be cooling

Coolingone report

⚫️⚪️ Sources insist Newcastle are NOT in the running for Matias Soule as Sunderland also back away from Argentine winger and Roma make their transfer stance clear @GraemeBailey | #NUFC https://t.co/5maOVtjHRA

claims Rumoured−4 pointsView on X ↗

Reported as being in talks

Advancing2 reports, led by @TEAMtalk@TEAMtalk had it first, 4mo ago

Newcastle have joined rivals Sunderland in the race for Roma winger Matias Soule after the Black Cats made an approach in July 👀 @GraemeBailey | #NUFC #SAFC https://t.co/kLuDvPgOGs

claims Talks+2 pointsView on X ↗
1 other post on the same claim
  • @TEAMtalk4mo ago ↗

    ‼️ Sunderland could be closing in on the signing of top Roma attacker Matias Soule, after talks were opened over a sensational summer coup 😲 @GraemeBailey✍️ / #SAFC https://t.co/CGTK0GkQti

Why it read 21% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+28
TEAMtalk coolingBroke ittrust 0.40
−4
TEAMtalk advancingtrust 0.40, repeating (2nd to say it, 50%), counted at 60%
+2
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−4
1 further reporteach worth under half a point
Completion probability
21%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457530 Aug: +18 points, after @TEAMtalk31 Aug: −7 points, after @TEAMtalk29 Aug31 Aug2 Sept
45 recomputations▲ 8 points over the trail
  1. +182mo ago@TEAMtalk: Sunderland made an approach for Roma winger Matias Soule in July
  2. −72mo ago@TEAMtalk: Sunderland have backed away from pursuing Argentine winger Matias Soule